Case Study Deck
Morning Range v2

Setup Examples

Winner, loser, and scratch. All examples use hard-deck levels (PM/Weekly) and respect the 09:30 – 09:45 ET no-trade zone.

How to use this page

Compare setup quality, rule adherence, and risk handling across three real outcomes. Focus on process quality first, then outcome.

1
Winner Clean Trend Day Breakout

Break above PM High with confirmation and follow-through. Proper stop and 2R target plan.

What was correct
  • Valid break/retest confirmation
  • Volume participation present
  • Risk and target defined pre-entry
Execution lesson
  • Process > prediction
  • Take planned partials
  • Do not overmanage early
Setup QualityHigh
Rule AdherenceHigh
Outcome+2R Plan
2
Loser Failed Breakdown in Chop

Break below range failed quickly. Stop was respected, preventing larger drawdown.

Red flags
  • Weak follow-through quality
  • Price kept rotating instead of trending
  • Price could not stay below the level
Execution lesson
  • Losses are acceptable when planned
  • Never widen stop after entry
  • One bad setup does not justify revenge trade
Setup QualityLow-Mid
Rule AdherenceHigh
OutcomePlanned Loss
3
Scratch Breakeven Protection Trade

Price moved in favor, then stalled. Stop advanced to breakeven and capital was preserved.

What happened
  • Initial trigger was valid
  • Momentum faded before target expansion
  • Structure justified protective adjustment
Execution lesson
  • Breakeven management reduces bleed
  • Not every trade needs full target hit
  • Protecting capital is an active skill
Setup QualityMid
Rule AdherenceHigh
OutcomeScratch

Key Takeaway

3/3Rules followed
1Winner
0Blown stops

All three trades followed the system. One won, one lost, one scratched. That is how edge works over time. Your job is to execute the process — not predict the outcome.

Starter Pack Interactive Breakdown Playbook PDF